NCAA Tournament by the odds: Vegas picks and preview of

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Eliminating Contenders To Find A Winner For The 2019 NCAA March Madness Tournament

Eliminating Contenders To Find A Winner For The 2019 NCAA March Madness Tournament
The NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament is upon us once again and as always I will be breaking down 5 ways you can eliminate some top seeds from consideration. In picking potential final 4 teams and champions I find it much easier to eliminate teams from consideration to narrow down the selections. The criteria we will use to do this are as follows
  1. Preseason AP Rankings vs Current Rankings
  2. 3 Point Shooting
  3. Points Per Game
  4. Coaches Success
  5. Scoring Margin
1. Pre Season AP Rankings can predict tournament success
The following comes from a Nate Silver article in the NY Times before the 2011 tournament.
Since the tournament field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, there have been 41 cases in which a school that was unranked to start the season entered the tournament ranked in the A.P. top 10 (excluding a couple of cases where the team was ineligible for tournament play). These schools, as you might expect, were seeded highly: eight were No. 1 seeds and another 17 were seeded No. 2. Absolutely none of these teams have made the Final Four, however: they are 0-for-41. Instead, they have been the victims of some notorious upsets, like the No. 2-seeded South Carolina Gamecocks losing — by 13 points! — to the No. 15 seed Coppin State in the opening round of the 1997 tournament, and the No. 3 seed Wisconsin Badgers being one of Davidson’s victims in 2008. Three of the No. 1 seeds that fit this description — Michigan in 1985, St. John’s in 1986, and Cincinnati in 2002 — lost in the Round of 32.
Since this article, I have kept track of all qualifying teams.
2011 Notre Dame (2) lost in 2nd round to Florida 2012 Florida State (3) lost in 2nd round to Cincinnati 2013 Georgetown (2) lost in 1st round to Florida GC 2013 Miami (2) lost in 3rd round to Marquette 2014 Villanova (1) lost in 2nd round to Uconn 2014 Iowa St (3) lost in 3rd round to Uconn 2015 Maryland(4) lost in 3rd round to Kentucky 2015 N. Iowa (5) lost in 3rd round to Louisville 2016. Xavier (2) lost in 2nd round to Wisconsin 2016. Oregon (1) lost in Elite 8 to Oklahoma 2016. West Virginia (3) lost in 1st round to Stephen F. Austin 2016. Miami (3) lost in 3rd round to Villanova 2017. Baylor (3) lost in the 3rd round to South Carolina 2018. Virginia (1) lost to 16th seed UMBC in its first game 2018. Michigan (3) lost in the championship game
The record is now 1-55 for these teams to reach the Final 4. Last season Michigan became the first team to buck this trend. They did so by miraculously getting out of the rd of 32 game against Houston. Houston had a chance to go up 4 with a few seconds left but missed 2 FT's and Michigan answered with a 30 ft 3 point shot at the buzzer to win by 1. A painful game for me as I had Houston in a rather large Calcutta style pool.
Here are the preseason rankings for 2018-19
Current Teams in the top 10 not ranked in the preseason
3W Texas Tech
2. 3 Point Shooting
The 3 pt shot has become extremely important in both the NBA and college basketball.
Since 2007 no team who shoots under 30% from behind the arc has won a game in the tournament.
No teams qualify this season
Since 2007 only 5 teams shooting under 33% from 3 have made the elite 8. If you are not going to shoot the 3 well then you need to defend it well. In 2012 both Louisville and Ohio State made it to the final 4 with sub 33% 3 point shooting but both defended the 3 as good or better than they shot it. Louisville gave up 30.3% from 3 and Ohio State 32.5%. 2015 Kentucky was sub 33% but they defended it well at 32.5%. 2016 North Carolina broke this trend a bit with a poor 3pt shooting team that gave up 36% from 3.
Teams to be leery of 1E Duke - 30.2% 8E VCU - 30.7% 13E St. Louis - 30.8% 16E UNC Central - 31.1% 16W Prarie View - 31.5% 10E Minnesota - 32.1% 3E LSU - 32.3%
What is interesting here is how many teams in the East bracket are on this list including the number 1 overall seed Duke. When we look further into the numbers Duke is the 9th best team in the country at defending the 3 at 29.3%. Potential 2nd rd matchup VCU also defends the 3 really well. They give up 27.6% from behind the arc which is 3rd best in the country.
  1. Points Per Game
Playing defense is great but you will need to keep pace with great offenses come tournament time.
80 Teams have scored 73 PPG or less coming into the tournament and had a 1-4 seed. 11 made the final 4 with no champions.
Three seasons ago there was a change in the rules. The shot clock went from 35 to 30 seconds. This has caused more possessions and as such higher scoring. The average ppg per team since 2010 are as follows
2010-11 : 68.28 2011-12 : 67.25 2012-13 : 66.72 2013-14 : 70.10 2014-15 : 66.76 2015-16 : 72.29 2016-17 : 72.57 2017-18 : 72.98 2018-19 : 71.77
Scoring has increased by about 6.6%. If we add 6.6% of 73 to 73 we get an average ppg of 77.8. This is now the number needed to be exceeded in order to be a contender. To be conservative we will round down to 77.5 PPG. In 2015-16 Villanova was at 77.2 ppg entering the tournament and won it all. We want to be careful if teams are really close as this stat has obviously changed over time.
Here are the 1-5 Seeds and their PPG
https://preview.redd.it/zzeu66yoc6n21.png?width=215&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c06a2726cd9efbb90a48ac31bc1b6922478b207
The teams coming up short are 1S Virginia 2MW Kentucky 2W Michigan 3W Texas Tech 3S Purdue 3MW Houston 4E Virginia Tech 4W Florida St 4MW Kansas 4S Kansas St
4. Coaches Success Coaches are very important to the success of a team come tournament time. The great coaches tend to outperform their expectations.
This is taken from Pete at Bracket Science
Using tourney appearances and Elite Eight trips, I’ve come up with the following taxonomy of coaching types in the tourney:
Rookies – making their first trip to the tourney Novices – 2-5 tourney trips with no Elite Eight runs Prodigies – 2-5 tourney trips with at least one Elite Eight run Snake-bit – more than five trips with no Elite Eight runs Flashes – more than five trips with one Elite Eight run Destined – 6-10 trips with more than one Elite Eight run Veterans – more than 10 trips with 2-4 Elite Eight runs Legends – more than 10 trips with more than four Elite Eight runs
I’m focusing this analysis on one through six seeds, the seeds most likely to advance in the dance. A standard PASE analysis on the eight classes of coaches turned up these results:

https://preview.redd.it/98oewpmuc6n21.png?width=447&format=png&auto=webp&s=446d790fb9c30932bf3a8df1f301e4483dbda12c
As the chart shows the “snakebit” coaches are ones you will want to stay away from picking to make a deep run. Last season Cincinnati and Purdue fit this category and fell short of their seed expectations as 2 seeds.
This year’s teams with Snake Bit coaches with a 1-6 seed are:
6E Maryland 3S Purdue
  1. Scoring Margin
Using the PASE (Performance above seed expectations) stat from the now-defunct Bracket Science the number one determinant of being able to outperform your seed expectation is scoring margin.
129 teams have been a 1-4 seed and come into the tournament with a 15+ scoring margin. 51 have made the final 4 (39.5%) and 18 have won it all (14%) including Villanova last season (Virginia was at 14.2 and lost in their first game)

https://preview.redd.it/07dgzk6xc6n21.png?width=211&format=png&auto=webp&s=67af0c138488b159d7348756dff80f2d2ac26761
Of the 157 teams to get a 1-4 seed and have a scoring margin under 10 just 2 have won a title and 11 have gone to the final 4.
Last season 1W Xavier Out in Rd of 32 2W UNC Out in Rd of 32 3S Tennessee Out in Rd of 32 4S Arizona Out in Rd of 64
Teams under the 10ppg margin this season 3S Purdue 3E LSU 4W Florida St 4MW Kansas 4S Kansas St
Summary
31 Champions since 1985 have been a 1-4 seed with just 3 seeded higher. So for a potential champion, we should eliminate all teams seeded above 4.
From the above, we can eliminate the following top 4 seeds from championship contention;
Team (corresponding number from above that eliminated them from consideration)
1 Seeds 1E Duke (2) 1S Virginia (3)
2 Seeds 2MW Kentucky (3) 2W Michigan (3)
3 Seeds 3W Texas Tech (1,3) 3S Purdue (3,4,5) 3MW Houston (3) 3E LSU (2,5)
4 Seeds 4E Virginia Tech (3) 4W Florida St (3,5) 4MW Kansas (3,5) 4S Kansas St (3,5)
If we go by these numbers we have eliminated 12 of the top 16 teams as potential champions. I did mention in the 3 point section that while Duke does qualify as a potential upset victim because of poor 3 pt shooting they do hold opponents to a 3 pt% lower than what they shoot. We have seen in the past that this formula can work and since Duke is the favorite to win it all they could very well win it all. However, if you are participating in a bracket pool with a large number of entrants you may want to look to a team other than Duke.
The teams we have left are 1W Gonzaga 1MW UNC 2E Michigan St 2S Tennessee
Let's have a look at where the country is picking on ESPN
Almost 40% of brackets have Duke as a champion. If you have 100 entrants in your pool and you pick Duke to win it all you are going to be -EV on that bracket. The reason is Duke has about a 19% chance to win the championship according to 538. The Vegas odds show about a 29% chance of Duke winning it all. That number is juiced a bit as well. Regardless of what you look at, there is no way Duke wins this tournament 4 out of 10 times as the public is picking. Because of this, you want to be short Duke and find value elsewhere. Of course, Duke may win and you will lose all of your brackets but even if you pick Duke and they win the odds are good that you will not win your bracket anyway. If you insist on picking Duke (perhaps you are an alum) then you need to differentiate yourself elsewhere in the pool. Pick some early upsets and perhaps look for a long shot or 2 to make the final 4 and championship game.
With 1 team from each bracket remaining, I will probably be putting in a bracket with a final 4 that looks exactly like the above (I play a few different brackets to be diverse and increase my chances of winning). It is a bit chalky but without Duke, it will be different than most brackets in most pools.
In this bracket, I will eliminate Gonzaga based on the 83rd best Strength of schedule. They typically have a weak SOS coming out of a mid-major conference and this season is no different.
The way my bracket pool works is you get the seed multiplied by the rounds value. So a 1 seed gets half the points a 2 seed gets for each win. With that said I will go with Michigan St. and Tennessee in the final game with Michigan St winning it all. I think this gives me enough differential from other Michigan St winners. In a 100 person pool, I expect there to be 5-8 Michigan St champions picked. ESPN has it at 4.7% but knowing my pool there will be a few more than that. The percentage is still low enough that if they do win it all my chances of cashing are high (top 5 cash). I will be adding a few more brackets with some other champions. I am going to do more analysis in a future article on possible Cinderella picks. That will help you if you take mostly favorites in the final 4.
As always good luck and let me know who you are picking!
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FEB 25 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info

FEB 25 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info
FEB 25 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info
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TONIGHT OUR NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY (FEB 25) - Depaul +7 vs Xavier -7 goes off at 7:00 EST - Xavier already has 10 losses - this may be a problem for the Musketeers as they attempt to catch the attention of the NCAA Tournament selection committee. Tonight's Big East action will be a important game for Xavier, but Depaul has been waiting to get vengeance after a 59-67 loss to Xavier a few weeks ago. The Depaul Blue Demons (14-13, 2-12 Big East) snuck by Georgetown with the x-factor being Charlie Moore, 20 points & 7 assists. Romeo Weems added 19 points. Paul Reed is coming off a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds + 3 assists, 3 steals and 3 blocks, and tonight he will be getting his 17th double-double! Tip off starts at 7:00 - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks!
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(JAN 02) NFL EARLY INFO ALERT - (TENNESSEE TITANS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS) + COLLEGE BOWL ACTION TONIGHT!!

(JAN 02) NFL EARLY INFO ALERT - (TENNESSEE TITANS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS) + COLLEGE BOWL ACTION TONIGHT!!
(JAN 02) NFL EARLY INFO ALERT - (TENNESSEE TITANS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS) + COLLEGE BOWL ACTION TONIGHT!!
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THE MAC put his money where his mouth is all week and The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure!! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country.
There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise! Tonight RedAlertWagers.com and The MAC have a BIRMINGHAM BOWL NCAAF MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY - (BOSTON COLLEGE vs CINCINNATI U) + A NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 02) - (RHODE ISLAND -8.5 vs BROWN +8.5) as well as a Full Red Alert Card of CFB, CBB, & NBA Expert Sports Picks!
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The MAC'S Hush Money Action on tonight's College Basketball game between RHODE ISLAND -8.5 vs BROWN +8.5 will be starting @ 7:00, Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Bears, Gaels, Bulldogs, and Huskies has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops hush money action. Last Night the RedAlertWagers.com Team's Hush Money Play on CONNECTICUT +2.5 missed, final score 51-67, a dud that are few and far between this college basketball season. We pride our action by bringing the results that has the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball picks against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
We will be getting it in the right way tonight with some BIRMINGHAM BOWL ACTION - (BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5 vs CINCINNATI U -7.5 + TENNESSEE -2.5 vs INDIANA +2.5), The MAC is moving heavy with a Major Move Alert Eagles-Bearcats side/total pick, kickoff @ 3:00. THE TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -2.5 vs INDIANA HOOSIERS +2.5 at 7:00 is a Top Rated Late Info Play and it goes without saying that we have been cleaning up all week! The MAC doesn't go where the game is, he puts his nuts right on the line to bring you where the money is, and tonight will be no different! This is the type of action that makes THE MAC's Top Rated & Premium College Basketball Plays like no others!
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The MAC will be collecting a envelope from his local bookie this week -
(JAN 02) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS
Weekly Bankroll:
(DEC 30 - JAN 05) - DAY 4 BANKROLL TOTAL: THURSDAY @ +57 UNITS
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  • NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 02) - (RHODE ISLAND -8.5 vs BROWN +8.5)
  • NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (JAN 02) - (UAB +2.5 vs CHARLOTTE U -2.5)
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  • NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (JAN 02) - (TEXAS STATE +1.5 vs ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK -1.5)
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30 years of insight, experience & bankroll management is bringing another profitable week for The Mac!! Early Info Plays, NFL Major Move Alerts, & CBB Hush Money Plays, are the reason that there are no better options out there for betting against the spread!! THE MAC put his money where his mouth is all week and The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure!! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise! Tonight RedAlertWagers.com and The MAC have 2 NFL EARLY INFO PLAYS - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +7 vs SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -7) + (TENNESSEE TITANS vs BALTIMORE RAVENS O/U 47) as well as a Full Red Alert Card of NFL, CBB, & NBA Expert Sports Picks! The MAC is poised to get it done the way it's supposed to be, his NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (PEPPERDINE -2.5 vs SAN DIEGO +2.5) will be a classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the Pay Master of Vegas! Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Pirates, Gaels, Bulldogs, & Huskies has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game in the public eye that will be producing the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos! When you follow The MAC, your'e in good hands, Red Alert Expert Basketball Plays have been atomic all year. Today, Mac McGuillaman has plenty of hoops games to choose from, NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT - (UMKC +15.5 vs NEW MEXICO STATE -15.5) NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY - (ARIZONA STATE +10 vs OREGON -10) NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY - (UNLV -7 vs WYOMING +7) Tonight RedAlertWagers.com has a full spread of winners. The MAC will ripping down a NBA LATE INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (CHICAGO BULLS +4 vs DETROIT PISTONS -4)!! Our Los Angeles Consensus Division has confirmed the info that had RedAlertWagers.com on the right side of these NFL Playoff games + The MAC has been on fire in the NHL, calling the Red Wings victory last night like a savage, making these calls is just what The Mac does. The MAC'S Top Rated Basketball predictions, Red Alert Plays, & OUR EXCLUSIVE COLLEGE BASKETBALL CALLS get it done, and that's just what it is. MAC is moving heavy on his NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY - (UNLV -7 vs WYOMING +7) match-up tonight. The Runnin Rebels will be matched up against the Wyoming Cowboys, our Mid West interlocutor has made us privy to the type of info that makes this game a solid investment. The MAC is moving early units with a NFL EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +7 vs SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -7), it goes without saying that we have been cleaning up all NFL Season! The MAC doesn't go where the game is, he puts his nuts right on the line to bring you where the money is, and tonight will be no different! This is the type of action that makes THE MAC's Top Rated & Premium Sports Picks like no others! THE MAC is not only loaded with NCAA gifts from the odds-makers this year, and make no mistake, he very much is anticipating the outcome of his Back Room Info & Hoops Hush Money Play, but The Mac has his attention focused on The NFL Playoffs. With the regular season coming to a end, and the big boy games about to begin, the NFL playoffs are when The MAC brings the big guns out, so expect that The MAC will be locked & loaded with expert NFL playoff predictions and his annual Vegas Tournament approved 2020 NFL Playoff Bracket Picks! MAC'S Printable Pre-Filled Playoff Bracket for the 2020 NFL Superbowl 54 Playoffs are available for download. Looking to rip down a office pool with a pre-made bracket by professional sports handicapper Roland "THE ROARIN MAC" McGuillaman - The Internets Most Venerable Sports Service! RedAlertWagers.com & Roland "The Roarin MAC' McGuillaman 2020 Playoff/Superbowl 54 Prediction Printable/Downloadable Bracket - (Superbowl 54 LIV Bracket)
The Mac has been entering his expert NFL handicapping picks & predictions in pick-em tournaments for over the course of his career and since 1997 he has offered his tournament bracket picks to the public. The RedAlertWagers.com team has made this information available on the internet making The MAC one of the most venerable sources for expert football betting information, against the spread NFL predictions, and NFL playoff picks, lionizing RedAlertWagers.com & Roland McGuillaman in and around sportsbooks and casinos The MACS all over today's line mistakes and the RedAlertWagers.com team is moving heavy with no apprehensions!! - $25 a month gets access to all exclusive releases and top rated premium plays!
(**Get Access to our 1 Day Red Pass for $14.99 - All of today's Top Rated Plays & Special Releases**) A lot of guys shoot a arrow and paint a bulls-eye around it afterwards, not The Mac...THE MAC proves that he has tapped directly into the mainframe and shows it!
Top Rated Special Release Plays by Red Alert Wagers SS Consensus groups have been impressive this Football Season, and our NFL Major Move Alerts and Back Room Info Plays are cracking bookies open and cleaning them out! We don't go where the game is, we bring YOU where the money is!! - $7 a month gets access to all exclusive releases and top rated premium plays!
The MAC and RedAlertWagers.com offers a unique playing strategy to minimize risk by making sustainable bets with achievable consistent returns, and never playing catch up or chasing losses! - Join our UPP Risk Management Tier for $200 a month! (Sign up before the end of the year and get your limited edition RedAlertWagers.com Custom Player Hoodie)
(JAN 11) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below! Team RAW has been delivering as promised this week, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, going 11-4 on Top Rated Hush Money Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAYS @ +49 UNITS this week. Last Night we cashed a check on the Detroit Red Wings in the NHL, Final Score - 2-3. The MAC went in heavier than he usually would on this Pucks game, losing wasn't a option, THE MAC bets with the composure of a 5 star General, there is no stopping the Ferris Wheel once it starts rolling, it just keeps rolling!! Top Rated Releases have been exceeding expectations, and after Tonight's Top Rated Action "WE WILL BE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC! Our Bankroll Risk Management System exhibits why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! (JAN 11) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS Weekly Bankroll: (JAN 06 -12) - DAY 6 BANKROLL TOTAL: SATURDAY @ +52 UNITS (JAN 11) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 59 UNITS LAST WEEKS RESULTS: (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS (DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL: +27 UNITS The MAC will be collecting not paying this week, disciplined money management allowed us to walk away with a briefcase and this week will be no different. Making the right wager just is, if not more important than, picking the right team. The RedAlertWagers.com UPP Money Management System is designed for sustainable betting, the name of the game is never chase losses, never wager more than you can lose, and the #1 Rule is Strict Bankroll Discipline! The risk of gambling is a RISK and there are no guaranteed winners, there is inside information, there's shifty players, crooked refs, and everything in between, but there is never a guarantee when placing a bet, our UPP Risk Management System mitigates your bankroll risk and makes it possible to lose a few games and still be able to bet the next winner!
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 11) - (PEPPERDINE -2.5 vs SAN DIEGO +2.5)
NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT (JAN 11) - (UMKC +15.5 vs NEW MEXICO STATE -15.5)
NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (ARIZONA STATE +10 vs OREGON -10)
NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (UNLV -7 vs WYOMING +7)
NBA LATE INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (CHICAGO BULLS +4 vs DETROIT PISTONS -4)
NHL BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (ANAHEIM DUCKS +120 vs CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS -140)
NFL EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (TENNESSEE TITANS vs BALTIMORE RAVENS O/U 47)
NFL EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 11) - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +7 vs SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -7)
NCAAF EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 13) - (CLEMSON +6.5 vs LSU -6.5)
NCAAF EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 13) - (CLEMSON vs LSU O/U 70)
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
NBA RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 11) - (NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +10.5 vs BOSTON CELTICS -10.5)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 11) - (NORTH DAKOTA +7.5 vs ORAL ROBERTS -7.5)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 11) - (PORTLAND STATE +1.5 vs MONTANA STATE -1.5)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 11) - (MARQUETTE +5.5 vs SETON HALL -5.5)
NHL RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 11) - (COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS vs VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS)
NFL RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 12) - (HOUSTON TEXANS +9.5 vs KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -9.5)
DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS NFL MAC ATTACK PLAYOFF PICK (JAN 11) - (VIKINGS vs 49ERS OVER 44.5) NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (JAN 10) - (UNLV -7) NCAAB MAC ATTACK PLAY (JAN 10) - (SETON HALL -5.5)
!!FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS!!
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY!! (JAN 11) - (DETROIT PISTONS -4 X CLEVELAND CAVALIERS +12.5)
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NFL 7 POINT TEASER!! (JAN 11-12) - (HOUSTON TEXANS +16.5 x KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -2.5)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to NBABets [link] [comments]

(JAN 05) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS - Weekly Bankroll: (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - DAY 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: SUNDAY @ +106 UNITS

(JAN 05) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS - Weekly Bankroll: (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - DAY 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: SUNDAY @ +106 UNITS
(JAN 05) NFL EARLY INFO ALERT - (SEAHAWKS -2.5 VS EAGLES +2.5) + THE MAC'S NFL OFFICE POOL BRACKET AVAILABLE NOW!!
Daily Premium Plays
\**For a Limited time only Daily Premium Plays include Top Rated Exclusive Release Plays - Major Move Plays - Backroom Info Games -* Only $7.00\*\**
THE MAC'S 1 Day Access - RedAlertWagers.com is now offering 1 Day Passes for The MAC'S Top Rated Action!! - (1 DAY RED PASS $14.99)
Pay By Phone: Call The Red Line & Follow Automated Instructions (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
NFL MAJOR MOVE ALERT (JAN 04) - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +8 vs NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -8)
NFL EARLY INFO ALERT (JAN 05) - (SEAHAWKS -2.5 vs EAGLES +2.5)
2020 Playoff/Superbowl 54 Prediction Printable/Downloadable Bracket - (Superbowl 54 LIV Bracket) only @ RedAlertWagers.com
Free Daily Sports Picks, Late Information Bets, Fight Betting Picks, Entertainment Betting Information, Gambling Picks!
Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [email protected]
30 years of insight, experience & bankroll management is bringing another profitable week for The Mac!! Early Info Plays, NFL Major Move Alerts, & CBB Hush Money Plays, are the reason that there are no better options out there for betting against the spread!!
THE MAC put his money where his mouth is all week and The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure!! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country.
There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise! Tonight RedAlertWagers.com and The MAC have a NFL MAJOR MOVE ALERT (JAN 05) - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +8 vs NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -8) + NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY HOUSTON BAPTIST PK vs NORTHWESTERN STATE PK as well as a Full Red Alert Card of NFL, CBB, & NBA Expert Sports Picks!
The MAC'S Back Room Action on last night's College Basketball game, PACIFIC +8.5 was a gem in the treasure chest, Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Bears, Gaels, Bulldogs, and Huskies has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Back Room Info Plays. Final score 99-107, Tigers won the game outright, another quiet game that produced the profits we expected. We pride our action by bringing the results that has the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball picks against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
When you follow The MAC, your'e in good hands, Red Alert Expert Basketball Picks have been atomic all year. Last night, Mac McGuillaman had plenty of hoops games to choose from and released a Late Info Play on San Diego State +3. The Mac released this to RedAlertWagers.com clients, The Aggies hosted the Aztecs as a -3 favorite, this was easy money for The MAC, as the oddsmakers made a boo boo. The Aztecs won this game outright against the Utah St Aggies who have been garbage since their inception. The MAC was on the right side of this game because making these calls is just what The Mac does. Final score - 77-68 AZTECS!!
The MAC'S Top Rated CBB predictions, Red Alert Plays, & OUR EXCLUSIVE COLLEGE BASKETBALL CALLS get it done, and that's just what it is. We will be getting it in the right way tonight with some NCAAB BACK ROOM ACTION - (NORTHWESTERN +9.5 vs MINNESOTA -9.5) + The MAC is moving heavy with a NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (HOUSTON BAPTIST PK vs NORTHWESTERN STATE PK) and it goes without saying that we have been cleaning up all week! The MAC doesn't go where the game is, he puts his nuts right on the line to bring you where the money is, and tonight will be no different! This is the type of action that makes THE MAC's Top Rated & Premium College Basketball Plays like no others!
THE MAC is not only loaded with NCAA gifts from the odds-makers this year, and make no mistake, he very much is anticipating the outcome of his Back Room Info & Hoops Hush Money Play, but The Mac has his attention focused on The NFL Playoffs.
With the regular season coming to a end, and the big boy games about to begin, the NFL playoffs are when The MAC brings the big guns out, so expect that The MAC will be locked & loaded with expert NFL playoff predictions and his annual Vegas Tournament approved 2020 NFL Playoff Bracket Picks!
MAC'S Printable Pre-Filled Playoff Bracket for the 2020 NFL Superbowl 54 Playoffs are available for download. Looking to rip down a office pool with a pre-made bracket by professional sports handicapper Roland "THE ROARIN MAC" McGuillaman - The Internets Most Venerable Sports Service!
THE MAC uses MyBookie.ag and you should too! They have the best bonuses in the business, $20 free bets and a 100% matching deposit bonus up to $1000 and new customers get a free initial deposit bonus!!! They have NFL squares, Casino raffles, and more only at MyBookie.ag
***(JAN 05) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS**\*
Weekly Bankroll:
(DEC 30 - JAN 05) - DAY 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: SUNDAY @ +106 UNITS
(JAN 05) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 66 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS:
(DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL: +27 UNITS
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
  • NFL MAJOR MOVE ALERT (JAN 05) - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +8 vs NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -8)
  • NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 05) - (HOUSTON BAPTIST PK vs NORTHWESTERN STATE PK)
  • NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (JAN 05) - (NORTHWESTERN +9.5 vs MINNESOTA -9.5)
  • NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (JAN 05) - (PURDUE +3 vs ILLINOIS -3)
  • NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (JAN 05) - (MICHIGAN +8.5 vs MICHIGAN STATE -8.5)
  • NHL EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 05) - (CALGARY FLAMES -105 vs MINNESOTA WILD -115)
  • NBA BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (JAN 05) - (MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +6 vs PHOENIX SUNS -6)
  • NCAAF EARLY INFO PLAY (JAN 06) - (MIAMI OHIO +14 vs UL LAFAYETTE -14)
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
  • NFL RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -2.5 vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +2.5)
  • NFL RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (SEATTLE SEAHAWKS vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES O/U 45.5)
  • NHL RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (FLORIDA PANTHERS +130 vs PITTSBURGH PENGUINS -155)
  • NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (LOYOLA MARYLAND vs LEHIGH PK)
  • NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (NORTHERN KENTUCKY +2.5 vs OAKLAND -2.5)
  • NBA RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +5.5 vs MIAMI HEAT -5.5)
  • NBA RED ALERT PLAY (JAN 05) - (MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES vs PHOENIX SUNS O/U 234.5)
***DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS**\*
  • NFL MAC ATTACK PLAYOFF PICK (JAN 05) - (SEAHAWKS vs EAGLES UNDER 45.5)
  • NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (JAN 05) - (ST. BONAVENTURE -4)
  • NBA MAC ATTACK PLAY (JAN 05) - (MIAMI HEAT -5.5)
***FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS**\*
  • FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY!! (JAN 05) - (MIAMI HEAT -5.5 X MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +6)
  • FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NFL 7 POINT TEASER!! (JAN 04-05) - (BUFFALO BILLS +10 x SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +4.5)
***EXCLUSIVE PRIME TIME FREE PLAY GAMES & EVENTS*\*
  • EXCLUSIVE UFC 246 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (JAN 18) - (HOLLY HOLM -130)
  • EXCLUSIVE UFC 246 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (JAN 18) - (CERRONE +175)
  • EXCLUSIVE NCAAF NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PLAY (JAN 13) - (LSU -6.5)
Follow The MAC on Social Media: Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below!

NCAAF ALABAMA BOWL (JAN 06) - (MIAMI OHIO +14 vs UL LAFAYETTE -14) NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 06) - (NORFOLK STATE -1 vs COPPIN STATE +1)
Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below!
Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [email protected]
Become a Member - Patreon.com/MACSPICKS - $7
Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS!!
Follow The MAC on Social Media:
Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
30 years of insight, experience & bankroll management is bringing another profitable week for The Mac!! Early Info Plays, NFL Major Move Alerts, & CBB Hush Money Plays, are the reason that there are no better options out there for betting against the spread!!
THE MAC put his money where his mouth is all week and The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure!! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country.
There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
Tonight RedAlertWagers.com and The MAC doubled up in the NFL yesterday, our NFL MAJOR MOVE ALERT ON - (MINNESOTA VIKINGS +8) + RED ALERT PLAY ON Seattle -2.5 won easily!! Tonight The MAC has a NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT - (UL - LAFAYETTE +8 vs APPALACHIAN ST -8) + A EARLY INFO ALABAMA BOWL PLAY (JAN 06) - (MIAMI OHIO +14 vs UL LAFAYETTE -14) as well as a Full Red Alert Card of NFL, CBB, & NBA Expert Sports Picks!
The MAC'S Back Room Action on last night's College Basketball game, Northwestern Wildcats +9.5 was a exactly what it we called it, BACK ROOM ACTION, a close cover that one could almost call a "FIX" as the Minnesota Golden Gophers won this game by exactly 9 as a -9.5 favorite, letting the Wildcats cover by the hook! Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Bears, Gaels, Bulldogs, and Huskies has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Back Room Info Plays. Final score 68-77, the Northwestern Wildcats covered, another quiet game that produced the profits we expected. We pride our action by bringing the results that has the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball picks against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
When you follow The MAC, your'e in good hands, Red Alert Expert Basketball Picks have been atomic all year. Last night, Mac McGuillaman had plenty of hoops games to choose from and released a Late Info Play on the Purdue Boilermakers +3. MAC may have picked the ugliest NCAAB game this year, and unfortunately The Mac eventually has to have a loss to get a win, Purdue was a lump of shit dressed as a basketball team last night, and the Illinois Fighting Ilini are not as good as that game made them out to be!! The final score was 37-63 despicable, RedAlertWagers.com has a make up play that will rock the betting public tonight, as we are poised to rip down a NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (JAN 06) - (NORFOLK STATE -1 vs COPPIN STATE +1) TONIGHT!! The MAC will be on the right side of this game because making these calls is just what The Mac does.
The MAC'S Top Rated CBB predictions, Red Alert Plays, & OUR EXCLUSIVE COLLEGE BASKETBALL CALLS get it done, and that's just what it is. We will be getting it in the right way tonight with some NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ACTION - (UL - LAFAYETTE +8 vs APPALACHIAN ST -8) + The MAC is moving heavy with a ALABAMA BOWL EARLY INFO PLAY - (MIAMI OHIO +14 vs UL LAFAYETTE -14) and it goes without saying that we have been cleaning up all week! The MAC doesn't go where the game is, he puts his nuts right on the line to bring you where the money is, and tonight will be no different! This is the type of action that makes THE MAC's Top Rated & Premium Sports Picks like no others!
THE MAC is not only loaded with NCAA gifts from the odds-makers this year, and make no mistake, he very much is anticipating the outcome of his Back Room Info & Hoops Hush Money Play, but The Mac has his attention focused on The NFL Playoffs.
With the regular season coming to a end, and the big boy games about to begin, the NFL playoffs are when The MAC brings the big guns out, so expect that The MAC will be locked & loaded with expert NFL playoff predictions and his annual Vegas Tournament approved 2020 NFL Playoff Bracket Picks!
MAC'S Printable Pre-Filled Playoff Bracket for the 2020 NFL Superbowl 54 Playoffs are available for download. Looking to rip down a office pool with a pre-made bracket by professional sports handicapper Roland "THE ROARIN MAC" McGuillaman - The Internets Most Venerable Sports Service!
(JAN 06) UPP RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM PLAYS
The MAC will be making collections this week - (JAN 06 -12)
Weekly Bankroll:
(JAN 06 -12) - DAY 1 BANKROLL TOTAL: MONDAY @ START @ 0 UNITS
(JAN 06) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 66 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS:
(DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS
(DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL: +27 UNITS
The MAC will be collecting not paying this week, disciplined money management allowed us to walk away with a briefcase and this week will be no different. Making the right wager just is, if not more important than, picking the right team. The RedAlertWagers.com UPP Money Management System is designed for sustainable betting, the name of the game is never chase losses, never wager more than you can lose, and the #1 Rule is Strict Bankroll Discipline! The risk of gambling is a RISK and there are no guaranteed winners, there is inside information, there's shifty players, crooked refs, and everything in between, but there is never a guarantee when placing a bet, our UPP Risk Management System mitigates your bankroll risk and makes it possible to lose a few games and still be able to bet the next winner!
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
submitted by TheMACSPicks to NBABets [link] [comments]

30 years of insight, experience & bankroll management is bringing another profitable week for The Mac!!

30 years of insight, experience & bankroll management is bringing another profitable week for The Mac!! Early Info Plays, NFL Major Move Alerts, & CBB Hush Money Plays, are the reason that there are no better options out there for betting against the spread!!
Website: RedAlertWagers.com
Contact: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $7
Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS!!
Follow The MAC on Social Media:
Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers
Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers
Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
MAC Media:
The Reddit Sports Report
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[Game Thread] PAC12 Semifinal: (3) Utah vs. (2) Oregon (1145PM ET - ESPN)

NCAA Basketball

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(3) Utah ( 24-7 ) @ (2) Oregon ( 24-8 )
Tip-Off: 11:45 PM ET, March 13, 2015
Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
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Game Line: -7 O/U: 138
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Tournament Time; Big Ten predictions, sleepers, extra rest

March is rapidly approaching and we are transitioning into the most wonderful time of the year, for college basketball fans at least. That's right, we are officially entering conference tournament season. This is the time of the month where we see the feel good mid-major schools punch their tickets into the NCAA Tournament. Rest assured, there will probably be some buzzer beaters along the way.
This is just a warmup for what is to come following conference tournament season. Brackets, squares, survivor pools, office pools, it doesn't matter who you are, you're more than likely going to be investing some type of money, or at the very least your time, into 64 sets of young men, most aged somewhere between 18 and 22. Alright, investing may not be the proper term. Regardless, it doesn't matter if you're Kathy from accounting or Drew the professional sports better in Vegas, EVERYONE can rally around March Madness and the spectacle that it has become. Fox Business came out with a report last year that businesses are set to lose between 4 and 6 BILLION dollars in lost wages due to employees filling out and checking on brackets, and even streaming games during work. Guess you just have to chalk that up as a cost of doing business.
Alright, let's preview what lies ahead in the 2018 Big Ten Tournament.
The Favorites
Michigan State The Big Ten regular season champions and (1.a) of the odds on favorite to win this conference tournament. Michigan State has been the class of the Big Ten for most of this college basketball season. They enter the Big Ten Tournament on a scorching hot 12 game winning streak, not having lost in about a month and a half. The Spartans don't have a heck of a lot to lose but they have a ton to gain by way of winning this tournament, which is a potential #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. However, even that doesn't necessarily guarantee them one of the 4 top spots, but it would be a heck of an accolade to add to their resume coming out of a strong Big Ten as regular season/tournament champions. Despite being listed as a recipient of impermissible benefits by way of a recent NCAA scandal, Miles Bridges has been cleared to play moving forward, and if his eligibility remains, there's no reason to think Michigan State can't win this thing.
Ohio State Somehow the Buckeyes continue to fly under the radar and continually don't get the respect they deserve. They've wrapped up conference play having beaten all the goliaths of the Big Ten. Ohio State has impressive wins over Michigan State, Michigan as well as Purdue, and I'm not sure anybody knows about it. However, with the good comes the bad. There's been one team in conference that Ohio State can't seem to get past, Penn State. The stars seem to be aligning for a possible 3rd matchup of the year between the Buckeyes and Nittany Lions in the quarterfinal round. Penn State will look to take advantage of the situation in which Ohio State doesn't have much to play for, having already clinched a spot in the NCAA tourney. However, I have a real hard time believing that OSU is going to roll over and let PSU beat them and walk away with a clean sweep on the season. It's hard to beat a team twice in college football and maybe even tougher to beat a team three times in college basketball. I think the Buckeyes will right the ship against Penn State, but that's as far as they'll go.
Purdue The Boilermakers are the (1.b) odds on favorite to win this conference tournament. Outside of a recent 3-game skid, they went undefeated in conference play. They have seemingly cleaned that up a bit as they're riding a 3 game win streak heading into this week. This team can do it all with their excellent shooting, defense and rebounding. They have stellar guard play as well as a true force down low in Isaac Haas. If Vincent Edwards is healthy, Purdue is a real threat to win it all. They received the luck of the draw in seeding and will likely sleep walk their way into the quarterfinals. They would be playing with chips on their shoulders in matchups against MSU or OSU wanting to avenge losses from earlier this season. Team health will play a big role in whether or not the Boilermakers cut down these nets. It wouldn't shock me if they played it somewhat safe heading into March Madness. I see them making a deep run, but inevitably falling just short.
The Sleepers
Michigan Alright, so maybe this isn't fair to be a sleeper pick. Out of all the teams without a double bye, Michigan has the best chance to win it. The Wolverines come into this tournament blazing hot. They're fresh off the heels of wins over Penn State and Ohio State. This appears to be deja vu all over again, with Michigan getting hot at the exact right time. Throughout the entire season, Michigan has been "eh", but they always seem to turn it around come March. Defense isn't their strength like it has been in recent years, but it's slowly getting better. If you're looking to take a flyer, look no further.
Penn State This team has been a thorn in the side for some of the top teams in the Big Ten this season. They come off to me as the little brother that just won't stop pestering you. They're two biggest wins have both been over Ohio State, but had competitive games against Michigan, Michigan State and Purdue. Lucky for the Nittany Lions, its lining up like they could be facing Ohio State in the second round, that's IF they can get past Northwestern. It wouldn't shock me if they lost in the first round, but it also wouldn't shock me if they got hot and won it all.
Wisconsin I should probably list the Badgers as a "Super Sleeper" because their odds to win this are.... slim. With that being said, if they can find their touch from behind the arc and Ethan Happ can play how he did against Purdue, they could turn some heads this week in the Big Apple. They've won 4 of 5 coming into it and their only loss was a close one against Michigan State. If I had to pick a team in the bottom 7, Wisconsin would be my pick.
Storylines to follow
How the Big Ten Tournament plays out
Michigan over Purdue. The Wolverines are red hot and I like them to repeat as Big Ten tournament champions. You can also snag them at +450 or even as high as +700 to do so, if you're into that kind of thing.
You can find the full article that has my full bracket breakdown here.
Follow @TheOffSeasonSN on Twitter
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Some Friendly Last Minute Bracket Advice

This is really only for one group of people. Those who know very little about college basketball who only watch games in March and who are also only interested in being in the running for winning their pool. If you just want to have fun or look like the smartest person in the pool, do not read any further. Finally, nothing is set in stone and anything can happen in a one-and-done tournament. That is the rule to follow no matter what.
Don't overthink the early rounds.
The first-round games are worth one point. Unless you have a team going to the Sweet 16, go ahead and pick a few upsets without fear. BUT, here is the caveat, you don't want to pick, say, Duke losing in the second round, no matter that it's happened a few times recently. Your main goal to win your pool is not lose it this first weekend. That means, you need to make sure as many of your Elite Eight and, hopefully, all your Final Four teams survive the first weekend.
If, say, Duke loses in round 2, MOST people's brackets will suffer along with you. A few folks will gain something, but you just can't account for that. This is all about giving yourself the best chance to win. And pick Duke to at least the Elite Eight is "Vegas" bet.
Don't carry your upsets too far
Everyone wants to be the one who picked VCU to make the Final Four. Don't be that person. By the time the craziness of that first weekend ends, teams head home for a few days, gather themselves, etc., the top seeds/better teams in the Sweet 16 tend to win. And, by the Elite Eight, it's usually one of the teams seeded 1-6, that make it. The lowest seed to ever make the Elite Eight is a 12, and it happened once. On average, three of the four No. 1 seeds make it to the Elite Eight each year. This is also when the points really start ramping up.
1, 2, 3, 4 — it's that simple
Check this out. Stay with the top seeds and don't go too crazy avoiding the top 2 seeds in each region. That being said, the four No. 1s have only done it once. But, since the field went to 64, 18 of the 30 champions have been 1 seeds.
Pick Kentucky to win
I am sure people will harp on this a little. But I am convinced, considering UK is such a huge favorite, you should not pick someone else in order to capitalize on them being upset. Some years, I would agree. But there has never been a bigger favorite. And, for me, you are better off riding UK than be kicking yourself for NOT picking them when you had a chance to finish in the money if you had. There is way too many variables in this tournament. But Kentucky winning is, by the odds, probably the safest way to not be regretting your champion. Also, like with my upset analogy, the vast majority of people will pick UK. So, chances are, the team you are competing against for the money, also picked UK. It's just playing the odds.
Good luck!
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[Game Thread] PAC12 Tournament: (11) Washington vs. (6) Stanford (1150PM ET - (PAC12)

NCAA Basketball

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Washington ( 16-14 ) @ Stanford ( 18-12 )
Tip-Off: 11:50 PM ET, March 11, 2015
Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
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Television: PAC12
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Preview: NCAA
Tournament Bracket
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Odds Favorite:
Game Line: -9 O/U: 141.5
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It's a very strange time.

I'm old enough to remember the Watergate hearings on TV. I grew up in NH and was acutely aware of politics growing up. I remember rationed gas with even and odd plates. I remember 18% mortgage rates. My father held elected office. I hold a minor elected office. I've been active in politics for 30+ years.
I've never been more worried about the US than I am now.
I was not a fan of Bill Clinton, but I knew in my gut that if things really went south, there were adults that could step in, offer suggestions, quietly give advice to keep Clinton, the world and the US in balance.
I did support Bush, though there were some rough moments fiscally that I wanted to wring his neck. But again, I never felt like the US was out there. Even after 9-11, I felt like we were OK. We got slapped upside the head a couple of times, but we'd be OK. Again, there were folks that had political insight, people the President could go to for sound advice, that had cooler heads and understood various parts of the world.
With Obama, I feel like the middle school intramural basketball team is running the country.There are no adults in this White House. There are no adults in the wings that can step up and quietly interject some common sense. Obama has partitioned himself away from everything except fundraising and anything that will keep him in office. Rather than accepting responsibility, he talks out of both sides of his mouth.
In this week's address he said "... those who attack our people will find no escape from justice. We will not waver in their pursuit." But his Ambassador Rice continues to insist that the attack in Libya was a spur of the moment thing rather than a planned 9-11 anniversary attack that the Libyan President and other Libyan officials assert. And what did Obama say initially? Nothing, other than Egypt was apparently no longer an ally while on his way to Vegas for yet another fundraiser.
Israel is gearing up to bomb the living shit out of Iran. I figure this will happen before the elections. But Obama can't fit Bibi into his schedule because of scheduling issues. Obama's a busy man. Between his appearance on Letterman and his fundraiser with Jay Z and Beyonce, you can understand why a Bibi meeting just won't work.
Ignoring the current issues, can we forget the Federal crack downs on medical marijuana, that he reauthorized and expanded the Patriot Act, he ignored illegal immigration in southern border states, transparency was his campaign buzzword, but this administration holds meetings off-site so no one will know with whom they're meeting. "The one-term proposition" has become a mad scramble to stay in office, and the 14.7% U6 number be damned. Obamacare with no leadership from the White House. Not a single DOJ prosecution for the Wall Street mess, but coincidentally, Wall Street was Obama's largest 2008 contributor. The list goes on and on.
I want an adult leading the country, not a one-term state senator who after almost four years as the President, hasn't shown an iota of leadership other than when picking his NCAA brackets.
submitted by conservativecowboy to Conservative [link] [comments]

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The odds of filling out a perfect NCAA bracket are about 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. That’s 9.2 quintillion and 23 percent less than the chance of picking one of the 7.5 quintillion grains NCAA Women's College Basketball Game Las Vegas Odds Help for Odds Archive page: This page serves to display archive odds / historical odds of NCAA which is sorted in USA category of OddsPortal odds comparison service. Find out what chances and odds the teams had in historical matches, browse through historical odds archive of previous matches in NCAA. 2020 College Basketball Full Viewable Brackets with Vegas Betting Odds for March Madness Tournament provided by VegasInsider.com, along with more NCAA Basketball information for your sports gaming and betting needs. Sam Morris / Las Vegas Sun . Patrons celebrate Dayton’s upset of Ohio State during the second round of the NCAA basketball tournament Thursday, March 20, 2014 during a party at the South Point. Bracket Predictions 2021. Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. NCAA Basketball Odds to Win Championship (2021) See below for the odds to win NCAA tournament directly from Caesars in Las Vegas. These are only the current odds to win NCAA tournament so be sure to bookmark this page and stay up to date as the NCAA basketball championship odds change throughout the tournament. NCAA Basketball betting can be found at nearly every offshore sportsbook throughout the world and in most cases, they will offer you several different types of wagers to bet on. In this article, we will cover the basics of college basketball betting and show you what to look for when searching for college basketball gambling websites, as well as give you a few pointers on what to avoid. 2019 NCAA Tournament bracket: Odds, spreads, opening lines for March Madness games Take a look at the early lines for the first-round matchups in the 2019 NCAA Tournament Las Vegas Sports Betting provide live daily NCAA Basketball Odds located below, those lines are constantly updated throughout the day all best Basketball Odds & Betting Lines for College Basketball.. Need a Sportsbook to place your NCAA March Madness Basketball Bet? Try one of our recommended Sportsbooks, MyBookie Free $1,000 or Bovada $750 Welcome Bonus.

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ncaa basketball bracket vegas odds

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