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CreateYoureReality NFL Week 10 Sunday Games Analysis and Picks

Week 10 TNF Recap: Whelp! 🙃 The algo was spot on with loving the Colts. However, my adjustments took me off the IND -9.5 Alt line I was going to play and put me on the HT/FT. Unfortunately it took Indy an extra quarter to get their defense rolling and they had a few shitty calls against them in the 1H. However, I did like the Colts to crush so I took a live play when they were down in the first quarter that was able to mitigate our losses. Big week 10 coming up, lets check out the games!
Singles (1-3, -5.05u)
Parlays (u)
Teasers (u)
BBDLS (u)

Sunday Games

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: I have skipped over this game all week. And now, Saturday night, I sit down to write and I still am unsure. My algo has PIT at -7.5. But, Big Ben and a few other have had to miss physical practices all week due to Corona protocols. Cincy is off a HUGE win over TEN (our algo was on that) however they just went into the bye. I would have rather taken them coming out of the bye off a loss. IDK, I think for now we say ride the dog or pass. There are many better spots today.

Washington at Detroit: Garbage game of the week! Even though both of these teams have playoff chances... Washington is playing musical chairs with their QB over the last few weeks. This week it looks to be Alex Smith again. He looked relatively good vs the Giants last week. If it weren't for some poor WAS special teams play (that gave up 10 points to NY) That would have been a real game.
Detroit is coming off back to back losses giving up 41 and 34, and who knows what is going on there... Are they going to keep the Coach? Galloday? Stafford?! Also, Detroit may be without two starters on the offensive line this week... Detroit has been atrocious against the run this year. I would look at Washington utilizing their pass catching running backs in Gibson and JDM to control this game and take pressure off Smith having to do too much.
My algo has this game as a Pick-em so we are going to ride with the visitors. Another game worthy of a little sprinkle action 😎

Houston at Cleveland: Here we have an AFC match up that CLE should be picking up if they want to be a playoff team. It is understandable for them to lose to the other playoff teams, but anyone with a losing record is a Must.
They will be facing a Texans team that last week came out of the bye and got their second win of the season... YAY! However, it was against the Jags...Starting a rookie QB...and they almost let the game go to OT after having an 11 point lead in the 4th....
Cleveland themselves is coming out of their bye and it appears to be the best time for them to have had it. They did lose the game going into the bye vs. the Raiders, however 100 mph winds and dropped passes seemed to be the game there. Now, coming out of the bye with 2 weeks of rest, they are returning two key starters on offense. #1 is the obvious Nick Chubb... and #2 is the Guard Wyatt Teller who was injured during the game vs. the Colts. Both look on track to return healthy and take on a Texans defense that is dead-last in the NFL against the run this season, allowing a whopping 159.5 rushing yards per game.
Here is the weather report for Cleveland on Sunday, "Mostly cloudy and windy with rain that should be ending in the afternoon. High 54F. Winds SW at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Winds could occasionally gust over 50 mph. "
With the return of Chubb and Teller, the Texans horrible run defense, AND the weather concerns. I would expect Cleveland to get back to their roots and look to run the ball 60-65% of the time and mix in some play action shots.
My algo has this as 30-24 CLE however with the weather concerns and predicted game script I would lean on a much lower scoring game.
Some extra info to consider: Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and they are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games as underdogs.

Jacksonville at Green Bay: Bottom of the barrel Jaguars travel to Green Bay to take on the rested Packers who are off a win 10 days ago vs. the 49ers. This should be a GB game all day. In fact, this is most likely going to be my pick in the $100M Golden Ticket on DK. This does point to a shootout with something like a GB 34-17 repeat performance. However, Just like the Browns game the weather report is dangerous for shootouts. "Cloudy and windy. There will be periods of light rain in the morning. High 41F. Winds W at 25 to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph." Rain and snow are manageable, but heavy winds make it a running game script more often than not.
My algo has GB 31-20 so I don't think I feel comfortable laying the 13.5. However, JAX is JAX, so I definitely don't feel comfortable laying with them on the road with a rookie QB in bad weather...
This game is most likely a pass for me except for some Aaron Jones props.

Philadelphia at NY Giants: Battle for the NFC EAST. Wow that sucks, considering these two teams have a combined record 5-11-1. Philly is coming out of a bye and returning a ton of offensive talent. "Alshon Jeffery will make his season debut after not receiving an injury designation, while Miles Sanders will start at running back for the first time since Week 6 (knee). Lane Johnson will start at right tackle after not receiving an injury designation. Jason Peters will start at left tackle. "
The Giants however are starting to come together defensively. Their offense is still meh, but their defense has kept them in their last 5 games (with two wins over WAS and 3 losses by a FG or less each time.
For me this come down to the same thing as the next game. Give me a home team, catching points, in a divisional game that is the second meeting.
Ehhh, during my morning poop I decided that the majority of bettors should be thinking the same thing here. Maybe I shouldn't overthink, but I'm back on the Eagles side. 💩

Tampa Bay at Carolina: Big game for Tampa Bay here. Losing last week to the Saints was a huge stumble for them, basically giving up control of winning their division. Carolina put up another hard fight and almost gave the Chiefs an upset, losing by only 2! In fact, since that last game vs. Tampa Bay the Panthers are 5-0 ATS when in the underdog role.
Normally, I would be all over Carolina. My algo actually has this as TB -4... Throw that in with TB having back to back poor showings prior and it seems like a perfect spot to take the home dog and the points.
However, when we look closer at when Brady has struggled this year, it's when the opposing team is generating pressure and creating sacks. Fortunately for Tampa Bay, Carolina does neither of those. The Panther have only 10 sacks and 23 QB hits so far this season. They are more of a drop back 7 or 8 and give up short stuff, but don't give up the long balls. Which is perfect for Brady to get back into his comfort zone.
Still even with Brady having more time in the pocket and TB probably righting the ship in the win column, I don't think there is value in the -6. Carolina is one of those pesky teams that is playing close games and this IS the second meeting for these two.
Extra notes: Brady 19-6 ATS after a loss. 7-1 ATS after a 20 points loss....On the other side, Bridgewater is 21-4 ATS in his career as an underdog including 5 straight covers as a dog this season...

Denver at Las Vegas: Another divisional matchup. This one features the up and down Broncos coming off a loss who are 2-2 since the return of Drew Lock taking on the Raiders who are having an up season starting the first half 5-3. Even though the Raiders are playing at home for the first time in weeks and are allowing fans to this game, my algo is still showing this as only LV -1. It heavily favors the over and likes a lean on the Raiders to win, but the spread is far too high for me to consider Las Vegas.
Could be a spot to look at the Broncos value with some points but Lock has been bad in the first 3 quarters of most of his games, only really getting hot in the 4th when teams are up and drop into prevent D. I could see him starting faster today since he is taking on a Raiders D, however I thought the same thing vs. ATL recently and he stunk it up.
Jerry Judy is my prop look in this one.

Buffalo at Arizona: Two similar high ceiling offenses meet in this one. At the start of the week I was all Buffalo. In fact, I took them on Thursday in my BBDLS with the Colts and others. However, after running the algo and checking the news my pick has shifted FIRMLY to the Cardinals. First of all, my algo spits this out a 25-28 game in AZ favor. However, with todays news of the Bills TE, two corners, and a safety on the covid list and not traveling for game, That pushes a lean to a strong lean.
Then, we look at each teams strengths and weaknesses. Both teams have potent offenses with mobile QBs and deep threat WRs, so basically a wash there. Defensively The Bills rush defense has been horrrrrible giving up 146 ypg over their last 5 games. On the other team, the AZ rush defense is not all the best, ranking overall 22nd in the league. So slight edge to AZ there. However, when we look at Buffalo losing their deep and edge players due to Covid this week I think we can safely say the edge is on the AZ side.
This is another perfect game to try a Same Game Parlay however I would be weary of the total. 56.5 is rather high. I like the over on 51 and below, but over 51 it loses its value.

LA Chargers at Miami: This is a game I am excited to watch. My algo really likes Herbert and Burrow so it will be exciting to watch at least one of them in this game. There isn't much to this one. My algo has it as a Pick-em. Miami has placed two starters in the front seven on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Chargers Starting RB is now Bellange, coming home for a revenge game against a weak front 7... Behind him is the best rookie QB we have seen since Patty cakes...
MIA had a surprisingly big win last week but that high emotion leads me to believe they will start this game a little flat. If LA gets a lead, this game is over.

Seattle at LA Rams: So this one actually hurts to write. I am a big SEA fan this year. I have a future on them to win the NFC and also the SB. However, I am also fond of this LA Rams team this year. I expected them to get over their SB slump (that the 49ers are in right now) and win at least 8/9 games this year.
My algo (as weird as it seems) is spitting out LAR -3.5 in a 27-23.5 style contest. I am still not sure I can place this bet on the Rams. Even tho the algo speaks, the Rams have only really beat the NFC East and the Bears this year. They haven't faced a QB like Russ yet, nor one that has weapons like DK and Lockett.
TBH this seems like the perfect game to middle on. Divisional battle. Possibly take SEA to +8.5 and balance it with some LAR ml or even LAR +3.5.

San Francisco at New Orleans: Beep Boop Beep Boop! Alert alert. This game is so confusing! I feel like NO could win easy 34-17, or SF could upset win some 27-24 grind out with some trick plays and jets sweeps.
Obviously because of those many possible scenarios, the value is found in SF +10. Seems to be the perfect spot for it too. SF lost a blowout on primetime last Thursday and the Saints won a blowout in primetime last Sunday. Public money should be alll over the Saints. If taking a big dog is too much of a sweat for you there are some decent props to look at in this game. SF is getting back a TON of offensive weapons and I expect them to look for a lot of short completions that allow the receivers a safer way to get yards.
As crazy as this sounds, my algo actually has SF as -1.5 for this matchup... Im guessing it is assuming Jimmy G and Kittle are in, along with Sanders and Thomas being out but still and 11 point difference is the biggest I have seen all year.

Baltimore at New England: Last game on the slate and it has the scariest feeling. I LOVE Baltimore this year. Outside of the Chiefs, they are my other AFC contender to go against the Seahawks in the Superbowl. The looked good last week bouncing back from their two losses to smack around the Colts team.
On the flip side, NE needed a 4th quarter comeback to beat... THE JETS.... who by the way, put up 30 on them...
Should be a slam dunk Baltimore go go go...
But what's scary to me is 94/93 % of the tickets AND the cash are on the Ravens. And allll week the line has barely moved. Even the Saints vs. the 49ers moved from 7.5-10 throughout the week.
So while I will need a Baltimore win to wrap up all my parlays and teasers on the day, some thing is very scary about those percentages. Vegas RARELY pays out 90 percent of bettors....

Singles (60-81, -35.26u)
Parlays (6-23, +37.76u)
Teasers (2-2, +27.38u)
BBDLS (0-44, -35.69u)
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CreateYoureReality NFL Week 6 Sunday Games Analysis and Picks (And Week 5 Recap)

Week 5 Recap: Look at us, putting in another solid card, right on que. As I have said in previous years, weeks 1-4 are usually a little high variance, but weeks 5-14 are where the data collection yields it's fruits. Thursday was fantastic, we picked the underdog upset and went 4-0 on the night. Sunday was also a positive day. We were VERY close to some big boy daddy long shots. I feel confident that they will show a return eventually, they are just a long term play. Our teaser was 1 off, that tends to happen with teasers over 3/4 picks so nbd. Overall a good building week. Let's keep this train rolling!
Singles (9-8, +5.6u)
Parlays (2-1, +19.6u)
Teasers (0-1, -5u)
BBDLS (0-8, -6.8u)


SUNDAY GAMES

Chicago at Carolina: Bears coming off a win over the Bucs and some extra days rest. Carolina also coming off a win (3 game win streak) where they were underdogs. At the beginning of the week when the lines were released I jumped on the Bears +3 And the Ml +120 for 2u and 1u respectively. However, the more research that was done, the more I like Carolina. Neither of these teams are proven winners yet as all of their wins have come against losing teams. Carolina is like TEN in that they aren't flashy, they just are well coached, execute properly and do their best to minimize mistakes while forcing the other team to WIN the game. As we have seen when they face a team that can win, that team does win. But if they face teams that have trouble getting the win...Carolina out executes them and wins comfortably. The main problem I see Carolina having when losing is they settle for too many field goals in the red zone. (27th in red zone efficiency, scoring touchdowns on just 10 of its 20 red zone trips) Unfortunately for them, this is the Bears defensive strength. They are currently No. 1 in the red zone and No. 2 on third down.
A side story I am looking at in this game is running back Mike Davis returning to CHI (the team that drafted him and then let him go). He has been running as an unstoppable force these last 3 games and I look for it to mostly continue. I do think against this bears front he is more likely to get his action through receptions and YAC than through handoffs.

Detroit at Jacksonville: This one should be simple (I feel like I say that a lot for Detroit write ups) Detroit is coming off a bye and this is the perfect time to put together some wins. They have a VERY favorable schedule coming up but to have any shot at catching Green Bay or Chicago need to take care of the easy ones. This week and next week are those games.
Jacksonville is coming off another loss, this one to the previously winless Texans. Their main problem is defense. They have given up 30+ to every team in their losing streak and the only team they beat was, IMO a bad QB. (Late age Phillip Rivers in a season opener with no preseason) Bad news for them, as mentioned, the Lions are coming off a bye week and have now returned previously injured players. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a day and keep an eye out for the return of Kenny Galloday.
My algo likes this game for an over and so I put in a Same game parlay on Fanduel for half a unit. It is a BBDLS to win +150u. There are a few games to look at same game parlays on, and with the way both of these two teams have played defensively, this is definitely one of those games.
Side note, this was a pretty detailed video explaining why the Lions will defeat the Jags: https://youtu.be/7RVcmu3fHeM

Atlanta at Minnesota: Failcons blew another one. They started out exactly as I predicted, leaning heavy on Gurley and blitzing Teddy B, getting a lead... but then they just stalled. Now... Quinn is gone.
Minnesota played a hell of a game week 5 and gave themselves every opportunity to win. They just didn't convert in a key spot and gave Russ the chance to win it...and that's what he did. Based on team vs team matchup, we would expect the Vikings to take this one. Cousins has had a rough first few matchups, but a shitty Falcons D could be his elixir back to at least an average form. Cook is out, but Mattison is a very capable backup that has replaced Cook well. The key to this one will be MIN D. It was able to slow Russ down last week, finally showing signs of cohesion, but once crunch time came, they fell apart. Can they keep climbing, back to a normal form? Or will Matt Ryan look to prove it was Quinn and his leadership that held him back and come out and win this one.
Personally I am a huge fan of betting on a team when they get an interim coach. We took Houston last week, and they rolled nicely. Here is what interim coach Raheem Morris had to say, "At the end of the day, we have to find a way to put our foot on people's throats and end games," Morris said. "That's what has got to happen."
Feels like he knows his defense is trash and he's going to be very loosey goosey with his play calling this week. This is another game my algo likes the over in and has potential for Same game parlays on player props.

Houston at Tennessee: Houston broke the winless streak and the curse of Obrien has been lifted. They looked good, but let's keep in mind that was vs a sinking Jacksonville team. Tennessee, as predicted and given as a play to my premium subscribers, continued the winning ways and crushed the Bills in a Tuesday game! Now on short rest return home to take on the Texans in an important divisional match up.
This is tough because TEN is coming off a shorrrrrt week. After playing Tuesday night, that only leaves them 4 days of travel, rest, game planning, and the tons of Covid protocols to go through. I feel like as the better, complete team, they have the overall advantage given all things neutral. However with the increased energy for the Houston team after the coaching chances and first win and the short week for TEN defense to recover, my algo leans a HOU cover and possible win.

Washington at NY Giants: Whelp, Washington went exactly like I wrote last week, haha. We got to see Alex Smith! Seriously though, Kyle Allen looked pretty legit in the first quarter. He was a Full participant in practice on Friday and looks to be good to go for this one. On the other side Daniel Jones is just not progressing. Last week the Giants put up over 30 points and Jones threw 0 TDs. HOW ARE THE GIANTS FAVORITES?!
I feel like Rivera's thought process is...if we can win the next 3 games, (2 against an 0-5 team and 1 vs. the worst defense in the league right now) we are 4-4 and 4-0 in the division. With another divisional game vs the depleted eagles still to be played this season. I expect Rivera to unleash some early deep balls and pressure the shit out of Jones.

Cleveland at Pittsburgh: 17 years since a Browns win in Pittsburg. Cleveland did well for us last week and got the upset vs the Colts. They are looking like the Titans, establish a good run game, have the QB make manageable throws, take a few shots, play above average D.
The Steelers are 4-0 and their defense is averaging 3+ sacks(5 PER) and 1+ INT per game this year...but who have they played? winless Giants, and three one win teams in the Eagles, Texans, and Broncos...
The major weakness to the Steeler D is that they are allow teams to convert a whopping 50% on third down.

Baltimore at Philadelphia: Ehhhh, another one of those game I don't want to touch. Outside of the win vs the 49ers, I don't know what is keeping this line between 7-9.5. I am not sure why it didn't open closer to 10 than 7. Usually when something like this happens it's a flag for me to stay away or take the dog. However Philly? I'd rather lay money on the Jets ml than the Phl ml right now

Cincinnati at Indianapolis: Cincy lost what looked to be a blowout vs the ravens. But if you look closer, their defense played surprisingly well against one of the better offenses in the league. Burrow was again sacked like 47 times and the offense had trouble getting anything going. The Colts are coming off a loss to the Browns where its now becoming glaringly obvious that Old man Rivers is getting too old to be a starting QB for a team with this good of a defense and this good of an offensive line. I mean shit, you put Sam Darnold in this team and I bet he looks twice as good as Rivers. This will be an interesting game and I am excited to see Burrow get his second win ;)

Green Bay at Tampa Bay: BATTLE OF THE BAYS 4-0 Packers traveling to Florida to take on the 3-2 Bucs. Both teams off rest with the Packers coming off a bye week and the Bucs playing the previous TNF. The Packers are getting Davante Adams and Mercedes Lewis back. The Bucs are getting back almost there whole offense in Godwin, Evans, and Fournette. Honestly, my algo has this game as TB -2.5. It targets the Bucs pass rush as being the difference maker in this one. When under pressure Rodgers goes from a passer rating of 141.1 and a completion % of 80 with 9.4 YPA all the way to a 68.8 passer rating with a completion % of 34.6 and 6YPA. So far this season the GB O line has protected Rodgers well. However, they have yet to face a formidable pass rush with their only challenges being MIN and NO, both shells of their former defenses.

LA Rams at San Francisco 49ers: The Rams are turning into a very nice team this year. I have been high on them all season, and I will continue smoking that dooby for this game. Don't get me wrong, there is a reason this game is only 3.5 even though the Rams blew out their last opponent and the 49ers GOT blown out, but the Rams this year feel like the 49ers of last year. Stout defense, a committee of running backs, both of those elevating average QB play to above average. As you can see, without the dominant running game and stout defense, Jimmy G (or whoever plays QB for the previous SB finalist 49ers) struggles.

NY Jets at Miami: No analysis for this one. I am skipping it except for some small plays on the Jets. I am not confident enough in MIA to take them as a large favorite. I am not comfortable enough in Joe Flaco to take him at this point in his career for any large amount. But, this is the NFL and any given Sunday so I feel there is always a little value on massive dogs that the public is against.

Denver at New England: Both of these teams have been off the field so long, how can we know what to expect? Who is even QB for both of these teams? Is Cam back and if so, is he healthy? Personally I think it shouldn't matter too much for the overall winner of the game. You give me Billy B with two weeks to prepare and I'll take him coach for the Falcons over this Denver team. But the spread is a decent amount of points to cover with little knowledge on the status of the players. Outside of some ml parlays, I will be avoiding this game.


***I put in a few bets at the beginning of the week to start getting the best of numbers I like. Sometimes my fade switches as I learn more info throughout the week. The bets with \** were all placed at the beginning of the week, so tail those with caution.*

Singles (29-30, -2.56u)
Parlays (2-11, -14.09u)
Teasers (1-4, +23.85u)
BBDLS (0-27, -22.57u)
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The entire bee movie script but it's mocking you

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How I made it: Copy and paste this to this this
submitted by KingOfCofefe to teenagers [link] [comments]

GAP Trail Relay (Great Allegheny Passage)

It took me a while to write all this down, and it's long, but I figured, in case anyone in the future is interested searching for info about the GAP Trail Relay (since this was its first year), better to have it available.

Goal: Achieved?
Thank the volunteers Oh yeah
Get some sweet High 5's Amazingly so!
Have fun A blast!
Win the Sheetz Calorie Challenge No
Pre-race
We assembled our team, named Pace Oddity (as an homage to David Bowie’s Space Oddity) and thankfully, we were an awesome, easy-going team. There were organization meetings (with less than a week’s notice from the race organizer) and lots of revisions to the Runner’s Guide and race maps. Granted, this was the first year for it, but still, there were problems. Additionally, P3R had written in the Runner’s Guide that headphones were strictly prohibited, and that teams should be on the lookout for other teams violating safety rules and to ‘tattle’ on them. We got e-mail confirmation from P3R that we could, in fact, run with headphones, but to just be smart (only use one ear, etc.) but the ‘tattling’ thing left us with a bad taste in our mouth. Ultra running has more of a ‘runners against the course’ feel, not ‘runners against each other,’ and especially since there is zero prize money, this seemed out of place and against the spirit of running.
P3R, the week of the race, also provided two, uneditable PDFs to track your team’s time (one that had a heading for 8 runners, one that had a heading for 4). By this point, we already had a spreadsheet created that would auto update as we put in each leg’s start time, had nearby gas and food options, and we were set up with a Slack channel to keep everyone up to date. We joked that P3R was too busy making TWO PDFs, so they didn’t have the time to properly organize the race.
But still, our team rocked. We sadly had one member have to drop out two weeks before, but we found a replacement that day, and with adding her, four of us were from my Ultra Running Team (u/ midmoddest u/ miikermb u/ karmicbias), so that gave us a great base to build upon, mostly of doing incredibly stupid running things.
We also did two overnight runs, and I think that that helped us a ton! We met at 8 p.m. on two Fridays and ran different length loops until we were called it a night. The first night I ran three loops, about 16 miles and we finished around 1:30 a.m., the second I think we ran 18 until about 3 in the morning. We would run a loop, then back at the cars fuel, stretch a bit, try out different gear, and repeat. It was a lot of fun to run with friends at night, and gave us great practice for the evening legs. We even liked it so much we’re going to keep doing it!
Thursday
That week I finished packing up two totes, one for each van, assembled two binders with all the important information (as well as some fun car games to play), and we headed down to Cumberland. The drive down was uneventful, and we competed with the other van to see who could post the most beautiful picture in our Slack channel.
Cumberland is a beautiful little town, although the highways that cut through it make it a bit wonky to get around. Four of us stayed in a delightful little bed and breakfast, and as we found out, two members of a team we’d see a lot of, were staying downstairs. We walked over to packet pickup (after walking past it once) and got all of our gear, as well as a GoPro that we were asked to film with. The safety meeting was good, and afterwards we headed to the runner social at a local bar, which was a lot of fun. The bar had a tap takeover, and they ended up putting our team in their fancy, private dining room.
Pre-Leg 6
Friday morning, our team headed to the start line at 7 for an 8 a.m. start. We did a quick safety check and then cheered on the teams starting at 7:30. This is where some of the problems started. Our team was originally supposed to start at 10:30, but we got moved up. The idea was to have all the teams finish about the same time, so we all submitted our estimated paces. Our team was accurate (or at least as accurate as we could be, I suggested that we submit paces for each leg individually, an easy 4 mile leg will have a different pace than a hard 9 mile leg), but the organizer feared many underesteimated our times, so they moved many teams up earlier.
A group of (non race affiliated) cyclists show up to start a trek at 8 a.m., and P3R, instead of holding the three runners back, insist that they must start at 8 a.m. and after they head off towards Pittsburgh, the cyclists go past, creating a safety concern right off the bat.
The start line was neat though, with tons of coffee and donuts, and we met a few other teams we’d see throughout the day. We took off, having some time to kill before going to the first major exchange. We did our first Sheetz run, playing the calorie challenge. Each team was given one $25 Sheetz gift card…for two vehicles. So we decided to turn it into a game: how many calories can you get with your share of the $25? $3.12 per person (including all taxes on prepared food), or $2.77 for hard mode, including our drive+1/amazing husband of Fox who was in our van. I thought the milkshakes would be a good bet, but couldn’t find the price. Twizzler’s ended up being the winner: 2 for $3, 1,000 calories. A bemused customer asked us what we were doing, and after explaining the game, he did mention that mayo packets were free, so he might have won on a technicality!
We headed back to the first major exchange, we went there before Sheetz just to check it out, and when we returned, there were other teams there waiting. We parked, hung our Pace Oddity banner on the back of the van, and joined in some cardboard cutout dancing with another team. A very angry goose from the farm across the road was upset there were people here, and it wandered over to us to honk angrily. When we arrived at the exchange point the first time, we found a clue left in an envelope to some sort of treasure, and we took the extra time to look on a map where we think Fox would be able to find it. We also met a cyclist who bemoaned the idea of running something just to complete it, instead of competing to win. “Back in my day,” he told us, “I competed in Ragnars, I didn’t just run them.” We gleefully replied that we were there just to have fun.
The other van arrived, and we waited for Cat to come in, after having crossed the continental divide. She made some friends on her run (after having to chase her coat due to the wind) and they passed around some high fives as Fox took off. We said goodbye to the other van and hopped in, heading to the next exchange, where I’d be running.
Leg 6: Meyersdale to Garret
This was my first leg, and the exchange point was this really neat railroad museum! We took a few minutes to look around, and I wish I had picked up a GAP decal, so maybe if I’m down in that area, I’ll stop by again. There was also a local woman giving out free maple candy to the runners, which was awesome! And this exchange featured the largest port-a-potty I have ever seen in my life. There was a cordoned off section inside it was so big.
One of my goals at any race is always to get some sweet high fives, and this leg helped me check that off my list. Fox came in, slapped the bracelet on my wrist and off I went. The trail was really pretty, and it reminded me a bit of the trail from the Buffalo Creek Half. As I was headed down the path, there was a middle school class out on a hike, so I got a whole line of high fives from the kids, and only one snarky remark! Which, to be fair, was a lot less than I expected!
I passed over the Salisbury viaduct, which is over 1,900 feet long, which was also much higher than expected. Have I mentioned that I’m afraid of heights? This will come up again in Leg 22. It was still super windy at that point, and I took off my hat to avoid losing it. Once you cross the viaduct, there is a small family cemetery on the right, just four headstones, a bench and a small fence around the perimeter. I wish I would have stopped to take a photo, but I kept going, I wasn’t too far from my exchange.
Just to be safe, I didn’t put my one earphone in until well after I left, and I pulled it out (and hid them both) as I made my way into the exchange. I passed on the slap bracelet, with exuberance, to Mike, and he took off. I ran this leg significantly faster than I predicted (knowing I would, but also knowing my time would even out with the next two legs), and as a team, we were posting in Slack to update our spreadsheet, so it wasn’t an issue.
I refilled my water bottle and we headed off to meet Mike at the other end of his leg.
Pre-Leg 14
The exchange where we picked up Mike was really cool, and I got some good time talking with some of the other teams. I changed out of my running gear and Mike came in pretty quick. Jill took off an we headed towards the second major exchange at Markelton. This area was scary, mostly due to the fact that the owner of the land directly next to the trail decided this was the time to play with a giant rifle, which sounded like a canon each time it fired.
The parking lot at the exchange zone however was right next to a small river, and we spent some time playing on the rocks, which was a nice distraction. As a team, we volunteered to run with a GoPro to help P3R get some footage, and we believe at least one other team was doing the same. At check-in, they gave us a GoPro set up in Spanish, so we had to exchange that out. Then, as we discovered, it was set to such a high resolution that even after we charged the battery (it wasn’t full when we got it), we weren’t able to record all that much. So Fox, who had her laptop, downloaded the footage, and we reset the resolution to something lower. As we hung out at the exchange zone, we had some impromptu interviews and some footage of us enjoying the area.
Jill came in and handed off to Elizabeth and the second van was off (after taking down a hammock Jason had set up, which was genius). We wanted to grab something more substantial that Sheetz food, so we headed towards Ohiopyle and Confluence, eventually finding a restaurant that was open. The food was great, we read some children’s books about nightime animals and we saw four other teams all eating there too. We used their WiFi, and finally grabbed a picture with David Bowie on the deck before we headed to the next major exchange at Bruner Run.
Bruner Run was split into two, the lower lot next to the trail, and the larger, upper lot. We hung out in the upper lot and tried to catch some sleep, and as we got closer to when we were expecting Cat, we drove down to the lower lot. Because of the rain and space concerns, we were the last vehicle they allowed in, and the volunteer parked us in a mud pit. After getting two other cars to move, and with lots of pushing, we got unstuck and settled back onto firm ground.
Remember when P3R moved up all the runners? Well this is where shit started to hit the fan for us. Since we were moved up, we were now at the point in the race where we had caught up with the teams setting up the next exchanges. So along with us, 11 other teams were also held at the exchange and then all released at once. Fox took off, with Pooh Bear strapped to her back, along with the other runners. The rain continued, and we headed up the hill with Cat to drop off into the other van and then we headed to my next leg.
Leg 14: Connellsville to Dawson
This was my night run. At Connellsville, they had a spread of pizza set out for the teams. And by spread, I just mean a room of pizza, it really was just an obscene amount, so points to P3R for that. The volunteers at this exchange took a bunch of light up armbands and made running lights heading into the exchange zone, and I saw Fox come through the arch, slap me with the bracelet and off I went.
I was running with the GoPro, although there wasn’t much to be seen. I remember picking up glowsticks that had fallen off a runner in front of me, but otherwise, enjoying the stillness of the night. The trail took me next to a campground, as well as near some very large houses lit up by spotlights. I kept going, enjoying the mission of Zombies, Run! I was listening to, and loving the extra atmosphere. About a mile in, I looked behind me to see another headlamp in the dark, and I resolved to not let that runner pass me, so that kept me going. A different runner eventually zoomed past both of us, giving me “looking good” as he sped past, but otherwise, it was just the two of us on the trail.
There were campers out and drinking around a couple fires, but otherwise, it was just me in the woods, and I really loved it. My runner brain didn’t do math correctly, so by the time I thought I still had a mile left, I came around a bend and was at the exchange zone! I slapped off to Mike, and the volunteers gave me some warm apple cider! I stuck around to thank the runner who was behind me, telling her she kept me going, and she said the same, she kept close so she knew there was another person out there, so we ended up helping each other without realizing it!
Pre-Leg 22
We headed to Whitsett to pick up Mike and it is was my favorite exchange zone on the whole trail! Much like Homewood on the Pittsburgh Marathon, the community at Whitsett came out in force and welcomed us with open arms! The exchange zone was set up at a pavilion, and even in the rain, they had a big bonfire going right next to it, as well as a nice space heater under the shelter. The local Boy Scout troop made sandwiches and wraps, and there was homemade cocoa, hot coffee, drinks and chips waiting for us. The community members there even asked us to come back and visit when we weren’t racing! While we waited for Mike, I talked with the rep from the trail alliance a bit who we had met at the safety meeting. Mike came in, Jill took off and off we went to the next major exchange.
This major exchange was also a cluster. At this point, even more teams were ahead of the race setup crew due to the changing start times. I believe it was 15 teams that were held at this point, all in a very steady rain. As we huddled beneath the pavilion, we learned we had to wait until 3 a.m. to start, along with all but one other team (one team wasn’t starting until 3:30 since they were even more speedy!).
The teams finally took off, and we headed to a Flying J for a bit of a break. We had first thought about sitting down and getting some real food at the Denny’s, but realized we’d just fall asleep in the booth. So instead, we headed to the next major exchange at Boston and grabbed some sleep in the parking lot. We were one of the first vehicles there, and I remember opening my eyes and suddenly the place was busy!
The Boston fire department was awesome! They had a huge spread of food, and of course a warm area to be inside, as well as a DJ who was playing music in the hall. I stopped over at the PA American Water truck and talked with the guys, who were very impressed with all of us runners, and I got a free water bottle!
We eventually walked down to see Cat come in and Fox go out: van 1 was done! It was fun to see which of the other team’s runners were done, they were the ones really relaxing (one man, very smartly in a big robe) inside the hall. David Bowie got back in the van (I walked him down to the exchange zone to cheer on the runners) and we headed off to my exchange.
Continued...
Reddit has a post length maximum, who knew? Check out the rest of my race report, including my last leg, the finish line and after party, here (sorry about that!)

Thoughts
There was a lot wrong with this race, but in the end, our team had an absolute blast. We were a great group of people, knowing we were going into a race to have a good time. Had you asked me that day if I would do it again, I would have said no. Now, I’d probably say yes. If we do the GAP again I’d want to do different legs, or there is a Ragnar race (points for being better run) that runs the C&O Towpath from Cumberland to D.C., so we’d get to see the second half of the trail!
Either way though, it was a great adventure, and I’m so glad we did it!
See the full photo album here.
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Match Thread: Guangzhou Evergrande (China) vs Bayern Munich (Germany) [FIFA Club World Cup - Semifinals]

Winner faces Atlético Mineiro or Raja Casablanca
Guangzhou Line-up
GK 19-Zeng Cheng
DF 32-Sun Xiang, 6-Feng Xiaoting, 28-Kim Young Gwon, 5-Zhang Linpeng
MF 10-Zheng Zhi, 16-Huang Bowen, 37-Zhao Xuri
FW 11-Muriqui, 15-Dario Conca, 9-Elkeson
Bayern Munich Line-up
GK 1-Neuer
DF 13-Rafinha, 5-D. Van Buyten, 17-Boetang, 27-Alaba
MF 21-Lahm, 7-Ribéry, 6-Thiago Alcantara, 39-Kroos, 19-Götze
FW 9-Mandžukić
Who will win? Find out today!
COMMENTARY
5 - Bayern dominating possession as expected... so far so good. Nothing testing Zeng Cheng... GZs GK.
6 - Ribery zooming in and out of the left-side penalty box evading 1 defender but being dispossed by Zhang Linpeng.
7 - Thiago and Ribery team up with a shot attempt only for a corner..... good job lads!!
8 - Kim Young-Gwon heads the ball out only for ... for what I assume will be the rest of the match... Back to Bayern.
Is it really this hard to disposses the Germans, GZ? Come on, you're Chinese and Asian champions.. people are watching!! Do good for Asia!
11 - Whats this?? A Chinese attack? It's a corner for GZ!!! Can it be??
The corner goes nowhere only to be kicked out easily by the Germans... bah
FUN FACT: Guardiola hailed Gao Lin and Zheng Zhi as the best Chinese players in the team. Guess who's on the bench? Gao Lin. Cause Lippi is playing defensive minded.
14 - A chance for Muriqui in literally a one-on-one occasion but GUESS WHAT... he fudges it up. Goes too far. Toe poke too far.
15- Ribery slides in and out the penalty to pass to Kroos who launches the ball way above the goal.... he doesn't care. He shines his shoe.
16- A Thiago chance hits the post as he gets it from a header from a cross-in... so close for Bayern! So close.
18 - Zhang Linpeng on the right-side tries his trade-mark hail-mary pass but only gets intercepted coolly by Neuer. He doesn't care for chance of errors!
10 - Huang Bowen takes down Ribery near the outside of the penalty box.. COULD ZENG CHENG BE A HERO TODAY?? Make a great save!!
FUN FACT: Huang Bowen bitch-slapped a Singaporean player during China v Singapore and got banned by the Chinese Football Association... yeah! I forget the length but ... he slapped and got suspended
20 - The freekick goes over! Ribery's shot overs over the left-top post. It goes over... I'm sorry Bayern... now face the wrath of Guangzhou!
Note: Who the fuck was pointing a laser at Zeng Cheng? How dare you blind China's best goalkeeper... we NEED HIM! Thankyou.
23 - 5 shots for Bayern. 0 for Guangzhou Evergrande. This is bad news you guise
24 - How does Neuer play with balls so big?? International competition to win medal for Bayern? Nah Imma just rush this player for funsies.
25 - OFF THE BAR!!!!! Bayern hit the bar just like Germans do after every game!!!! So close Bayern. Your anticipation for that goal is overwhelming. I smell et!
FUN FACT: Zeng Cheng has been saved by the bar more than once... when David Silva hit the bar during the Spain 1 - 0 China defeat where it could have been more but China pulled off a 1-0 (win) defeat!
26 - Zeng Cheng alert as ever blocks the shot and pounces before Ribery claims... atta boy!
27 - GZ on the ropes here with another blocked shot by their heads.. jumping up like duckies... hitting the ball away! Close once again my Bavarian friends!
29 - A rare Guangzhou attack is offsides.. typical ... why so offsides :(
30 - Guangzhou Evergrande have probably not felt this overwhelemd and as "minnows" since.. well... 2009. Bayern taking them down a notch.
31- This game reminds me of Al Sadd vs Barcelona... you know.. where it was just Barcelona 0 - 0 because Al Sadd was non-existant but Guangzhou puts up a big more of a fight.
31- Thiago breaks up a GZ play on the right side of GZ half only for whistle to be blown. Thiago don't care.
31 - Anotehr GZ attack. SO RARE. So offsides. YAY!
34 - The ref with close proximity to the play as Ribery is taken down in GZ penalty box?? No replays but suggests that is can go either way as it was not clear foul
FUN FACT: The first Chinese club to ever represent China in the FIFA Club World Cup.. it''s all thanks to a Realestate Group... Chinese fans.. go thank your landlord today
36- The crowd roars and bustles as Muriqui is taken down but the ref waves play on... seems the crowd is on both sides and Muriqui trudges back...
37 - So close for GZ but a sole defender stops the onrushing attacker... this ends the rare tale of GZ playing the ball in Neuer's box.
38 - Zhang Linpeng performs a fifa-esque clearance!
FUN FACT: Zhang Linpeng is called by the fans as "Zhangmos" to Sergio Ramos due to his apperances,style of play and characteristics due to him getting red cards, too!
40 - "How are they holding on here?" Yeah, I know. It's shocking Bayern have yet to conceed. .. oh you mean Guangzhou?
41 - BAYERN SCORE! It's a 1!
41 - brb im go cry now.. but they score from a Ribery goal because his outstrecthed leg went sliding past Zeng Cheng... a fast goal. A sloppy one? Maybe but definitely a hard one to past! Good goal.
45 - I'm back. Wiping my tears as I drudge back to my chair.
45- Another goal for Bayern and Mandžukić scores. 2-0. OK, so we may be down 2-0 but we held them off for 40 minutes the best team in the world and that is a feat in itself. A defeat is a win here for our morals, just keep heads high and play football!
HT Guangzhou Evergrande 0 - 2 Bayern Munich
Reports say 70% possesion for Bayern.. NOT bad. That is 29% more for Guangzhou than I anticipated. See, China isn't the most worthless nation in the world. 2-0 down at HT and China's best team is holding its ground. I'm a proud OP.
45 - Huang Bowen comes off for Rong Hao... CDM for CB... park the bus even hard, eh Lippi?
FUN FACT: Rong Hao loves to post on his Instagram ... selfies.. take a look http://instagram.com/colin_rong
46 - Muriqui with a sole chance.. a good run but is shepparded out as his shot goes out for Neuer
47 - BAYERN SCORE AGAIN. NO. 3-0. The defensive did not press and Goetze scores from a volley (?) into the net... no chance for Zeng Cheng because the defense was fucking shit!
:(
49 - Bayern now sends the ball into the statosphere in order to hit the Chinese rover on the moon to add salt on the wound?!?! That's german engineering.
53 - Bayern passing near the GZ box and a back-heel pass is intecepted by GZ only to be fouled and have a freekick.. in their half... call in Haung Bowen.. our FK specalist from that mark.. no wait, he's gone.
55 - CLOSE ATTEMPT FOR GUANGZHOU. But the defense coolly blocks it before they pounce. Closet call for GZ for the night!!
57 - A freekick by Conca goes sailing straight into the Bayern defense. Not a good free-kick. Come on, Conca! Make your last game for Evergrande count!
60 - DO YOU SEE THAT? Zeng Cheng is a goalkeeper. he's Chinese. That was a good save! I'm happy... showing his best! You go!!
FUN FACT: Bayern Munich Payrol: $170m, Guangzhou Evergrande: $37.6m -- a telling stat...
63 - A freekick is conceeded by Zheng Zhi... what can Bayern do here? 4-0? I think more like 3-1 because coutner-attacks are GZ's speciality..
63 - Just kidding. No one was even in the attacking half or prepared.
64 - Lots of ping-pong ball possesion action here before its ended with a Chinese defensive slide-tackle. That's my team. German, watch out... we may not score well but we defend well... when we want too.
65 - For the 3rd time tonight, bar meets ball and China saves once again by the St Wood!! Ribery is a dissapointed man
67 - Zeng Cheng blocks thes hot after some terrible marking when Bayern was left roaming free..... of course.. zeng cheng saves
69 - Zhao Xuri gets the honor of the first yellow card for pushing the frenchman. Predictable. :|
71 - Muriqui gets a lobbed thru-ball only to be taken down by Rafinha ... but safe takendown... good job... I applaud you.
72 - Ribery goes out for Shaqiri as the crowd roars for the frenchman's performance.
72 - Gao Lin comes in for Muriqui.... but the camera didn't even catch it. Camera guy should be fired!
76 - Mandžukić comes out for Pizzaro ... all 3 subs used. What will Bayern do with no options once Guangzhou shape-shift their plan of attack?? Fear. You fear.
77 - Zhao Xuri runs off for Feng Junyan ... who ... is..... okay But hey... it's better than nothing. Fresh legs are good!
FUN FACT: Feng Junyan is Guangzhou Evergrande's most-experienced player since 2003...
78 - Mario hits it wide of the left post! So close. Never seen such German firepower hit China so fast... I thought we were friends!
79 - Shaqiri tries his go to hit the side-netting... I bet you Zeng Cheng must be shitting bricks.
80 - Corner #5345 after attempt #53454 ... Zeng Cheng feeling the pressure saving it but now the corner goes nowhere! JUST LIKE GUANGZHOU'S DREAMS FOR THE 2013 CWC!!!!!!!
81 - FOR FUCKS SAKE, LOOK AT YOUR GODDAMN SURROUNDINGS, SUN XIANG. LOOK AT WHO IS AT YOUR LEFT. YOU SEE THAT MUCH ROOM YOU GAVE THEM? YOU'RE BRINGING THIS TEAM DOWN.
83 - 71% possesion for Bayen.... we went backwards, you fucks. We're suppose to gain more possesion.
85 - I want the name of the cocky bastard who just tried that kick only for it to bounce off his head after the rebound. You are not funny.
87 - Zeng Cheng performs another miraclous save!! Tipped off the crossbar and back into play... Goetze is frustrated!! Denied a hat-trick!
FUN FACT: China drew with Germany 1-1 in 2009 once.. I am not kidding you... we hold our weight!!
90 - 3 mins added time. Okay Guangzhou.. your time to shine! Time to pull off an unexpected draw!!!!!!!!!!
FT - Guangzhou Evergrande 0 - 3 Bayern Munich. A surprising scoreline but expected...Respectable result for Chinese and asian champions.
I'm out. When you leave this match thread, please remember Guangzhou's goalkeeper in your head (Zeng Cheng).. he played great.
Thank you.
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EURO 2016 - QUARTER FINALS!

So here we are; down to the last 8 teams and England are nowhere in sight, yet again! Regardless of that, there are 4 games to bet on and I can't wait for the next round to continue! Now, the reality of this tournament, is that ANYTHING could happen, so I will try my best to explain why I have gone the way I have and hopefully I can at least successfully predict some things right. On with the picks...

MY PICKS

FIXTURE CORRECT SCORE FIRST SCORER SCORECAST HT/FT RESULT 1X2 PICK
Poland Vs. Portugal POL 0-2 POR @9.50 L. Nani @9.00 Nani 0-2 @41.00 2/2 @3.75 2 @2.30
Wales Vs. Belgium WAL 1-3 BEL @17.00 K. De Bruyne @6.50 KDB 1-3 @66.00 2/2 2.75 2 @1.72
Germany Vs. Italy GER 1-1 ITA @6.50 M. Gomez @6.50 Gomez 1-1 @36.00 1/X @17.00 X @3.00
France - Iceland FRA 1-0 ICE @5.50 P. Pogba @9.50 Pogba 1-0 @26.00 X/1 @3.60 1 @1.40

POL-POR:

  • Lets start with Poland. 1-0, 0-0, 1-0 and 1-1 on Pens. The positive for Poland is they have only conceded one goal in 4 games (and my word, what a goal!) but the negative is they have only scored 3 in 4 games, never scoring more than 1.
  • Portugal, 1-1, 0-0, 3-3 and 0-1 in ET. Their weakness was defensively and a lack of finishing despite dominating offensively. In the Hungary game, the finishing clicked into place and they scored 3. In the Croatia game they played Fonte over Carvalho and kept a clean sheet.
  • I personally can't help but feel that despite how solid Poland have been, Portugal is the better team. Now they have tightened up their defence, Poland will have to take every single one of the few chances they will get and Milik definitely has missed the most chances I have ever seen in a single tournament.
  • Poland have only let in one goal, but with CR7, Nani, Queresma and Renato Sanches up front I can't see them keeping a clean sheet.
  • Against Switzerland Poland came flying out of the blocks with a high press then fell flat on their feet in the second half. I can't help but feel Portugal will hit them quickly after they over commit and in the periods Poland are flat, Portugal have the quality to pass around them.
  • I fancy it going 0-1 before half time then Portugal finishing it off on the break when Poland go all out to salvage any result they can.

WAL-BEL:

  • Starting with Wales. They have done incredibly well considering the quality of club football their player play. However they have got results against Slovakia, Russia and N. Ireland, none of which were particularly great teams. (They even lost to England for crying out loud...)
  • Belgium were poor in the first game but could have got a result if they had taken their chances. Now they have warmed into the competition and since losing to Italy, they have scored EIGHT goals and conceded ZERO in 3 games. Impressive.
  • Wales are certainly less of a one-man-team than anticipated but each match-up with the exception of Bale goes to Belgium. Courtois is better than Henessy, KDB better than Ramsey etc. Belgium are just packed with quality.
  • Wales will try to sit back and defend, but eventually Belgium ill brake through and i think this will cause Wales to temporarily collapse allowing for 0-2 before half time. Then Wales will pull one back because Belgium showed signs of failing to see off the Hungary game and 1-2 will make it interesting but eventually Belgium will get another. 1-3.

GER-ITA:

  • This one is seriously difficult to call.
  • The way Italy played against Belgium and Spain, they showed they can win the whole competition.
  • The way Italy played against Sweden and RoI, they showed that maybe they really can't.
  • The way Germany played against Slovakia, they showed they can win the whole competition.
  • The fact Germany have never beaten Italy in a competitive match, shows maybe they can't...
  • I think Italy will employ similar tactics tot he Spain game, but Germany are less of a Tiki-Taka team like Spain were so I think they will find a way through, perhaps aerially.
  • Italy going a goal down will have to come out and get a goal and I can see them getting a late equaliser through a CB header from a corner or something of that like.
  • As for who wins from their, I have no idea. I would like Italy because I love Buffon, but would like Germany because I love Muller.

FRA-ICE:

  • France really just haven't impressed me.
  • They were nervous against Ireland and it almost cost them.
  • I think Ireland scored too early so their was too long to hold on, I don't see Iceland getting an early goal.
  • I think Iceland will set up to defend then hit them with logn throws and the like when they can. play to their strengths effectively.
  • I think towards the end though they will tire and the breakthrough will come from a good bit of individual talent. (I fancy Pogba because players tend to shut up the critics eventually.)

MY BETS:

  • £11 - 11 x £1 YANKEE on Correct Scores
  • £11 - 11 x £1 YANKEE on Correct First Scorers
  • £5 - 4 x £1 Singles, 6 x 10p Doubles and 4x 10p Trebles on Scorecasts
  • £10 - 4 x £2 Trebles, 1 x £2 4-Fold on HT/FT Results
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AFCB V Manchester City [02/04]

Premier League tie between AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City

AFCB x - x Manchester City

Bournemouth have never scored a home goal against City in three previous attempts.
Manuel Pellegrini's side have scored just six goals in their last 10 away league games.
With four defeats in the last six games, City's title challenge has unravelled and their top four place is now seriously under threat. West Ham and Manchester United are just a point behind, with Southampton only four points back.
Via: Simon Brotherton / BBC Sport
Live Streams: /soccerstreams
Date:
02/04/2016
Kick off GMT:
15:00 GMT converter
Venue: Dean Court
Referee: Robert Madley (Previous AFCB: Norwich Home)
WhoScored Prediction: AFCB 2:1 Man City!!
Form Guide:
AFCB: LDWWWL
Man City: LLLWDL
Previous Meeting:
17/10/15 Man City 5:1 AFCB
AFC Bournemouth Predicted Starting XI:
---------------Boruc---------------
Smith - Francis - Cook - Daniels
---------------Surman-------------
Ritchie ----- O'Kane------- Gradel
---------------Grabban-----------------
----------------King--------------
Subs: Elphick, Pugh, Iturbe, Federici, Distin, Grabban, Gosling
Man City Starting XI:
Team News:
AFCB:
Callum Wilson has returned to training but won't be rushed back, leaving Tyrone Mings as the only long-term absentee for Eddie Howe.
Junior Stanislas and Harry Arter both look set to miss out with respective injuries, but Josh King is expected to recover from a calf injury in time.
Man City:
Manuel Pellegrini has been given a boost ahead of their trip to Bournemouth with both Kevin de Bruyne and Samir Nasri both back in training and on course to make the matchday squad. Fabian Delph is a bit behind his two teammates and will require a late fitness test.
Vincent Kompany, Raheem Sterling and Joe Hart are all still injured, while Nicolas Otamendi is a doubt. City are hoping Martin Demichelis will recieve a fine and not a ban after being charged for breaking betting rules.
Teams News via WhoScored

Live Updates:

4 King and Grabban combine in a great counter attacking move that stemmed from Francis's accurate clearance. King gets pushed out too wide and can find the goal or a pass.
6 Silva and De Bruyne link up in AFCB penalty box. Cook manages to put it out for a corner.
6 GOAL AFCB 0:1 City. Fernando volleys the ball past Boruc after recivint the ball froma pretty poor corner. Again a set piece we concede from - should have done much better with such a dismal corner.
9 Commentator just noted that the goal was the 14th we have conceded from a set piece, the 2nd most behind Swansea.
11 GOAL AFCB 0:2 CITY Silva puts a great ball in the across to De Bruyne who volleys in in the Boruc's bottom left. Where was Smith and Francis?
16 De Bruyne is allowed a shot from outside the box, goes well over. He looked very free there, where was the marking? (Surman??)
18 GOAL AFCB 0:3 CITY. Navas swings in ball from the byline and reaches Augero who headers it softly into the goal. Cook nearly gets it off the line but goes to Boruc who didn't look that interested in stopping it. How Auguero was able to win that is beyond me. Smith doing a pretty bad job of defending so far.
21 EH decides to bring King to the right wing, and moves Ritchie into the middle. Trying to stop the midfield from being overrun.
24 Fernandinho very nearly makes it 0:4 with a shot from just outside the box - Boruc looked beaten as it hit the crossbar.
27 Cook goes forward for Gradels deep free kick. Terible delivery which De Bruyne clears easily.
29 AFCB's corner routine sees a deep cross to the head of Cook, who nods it to the middle of the 6 yard box where Daniels can't quite divert it from Callebero's parrying hand. Best chance so far.
32 Smith puts in a great ball to the penalty stop between the two CBs. Grabban, in lots of space, headers it over. Perhaps had enough time to bring it down on his chest there.
34 Gradel's mistake lets the ball run behind to Daniels, who whips the ball into Grabban who heads it over. A much better effort from the striker than the previous.
HT AFCB 0:3 Man City
46 [Sub] Pugh ON King OFF
67 [Sub] Elphick ON Smith OFF - looks like Franno gone to RB.
68 O'Kane with great chance to grab a goal but can't get it on target. Nasri has just come on - wtf is going with his hair?
74 Elphick gives away the ball to Aguero whos tess up Kolorov with forces a decent save from Boruc, and AFCB manage to nick back the rebound off Aguero and clear.
89 Surman's free kick hits the body of players in the box, Daniels headers it down to Grabban who has a great chance - offside unfortunately.
93 GOAL AFCB 0:4 CITY. O'Kane and Ritchie give Kolarov too much space, who forces he way through and smashes it beyond Boruc.
FT AFCB 0:4 Man City
Highlights:
Post Match Interviews (Audio):
Match Report:
Match Stats:
AFCB Man City
Shots
Shots on target
% Possession %
submitted by jcw100 to AFCBournemouth [link] [comments]

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